Bitget App
Trade smarter
Buy cryptoMarketsTradeFuturesCopyBotsEarn
Polymarket shows Harris and Trump tied in election odds after debate

Polymarket shows Harris and Trump tied in election odds after debate

GrafaGrafa2024/09/11 05:55
By:Liezl Gambe

Vice President Kamala Harris' odds of winning the November election have risen to tie with former President Donald Trump on the crypto-based prediction platform Polymarket following their debate.

Both candidates now hold a 49% chance of winning, according to Polymarket’s $860 million market.

Harris' odds increased from 46% on Monday, while Trump's fell from 52%.

Tuesday marked the first and potentially only debate between Harris and Trump ahead of the election, covering topics like the Gaza conflict and abortion rights.

No mention was made of cryptocurrency.

Polls on Polymarket suggest a 94% chance that Harris won the debate, though official results are pending.

Min Jung, an analyst at Presto Research, noted that while the debate didn’t address crypto specifically, Harris’ rising odds on Polymarket “might be seen as less favorable for the crypto market.”

Trump has been vocal about his pro-crypto stance, while Harris has recently begun engaging with the sector but remains undecided on her position.

Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) experienced fluctuations around the debate.

It briefly rose above $58,000 before falling to about $56,700 during the debate and stabilizing at $56,797, according to The Block.

Justin d'Anethan of Keyrock explained that Bitcoin acted like a “dispassionate observer” during the debate, moving in line with tech stocks and growth equities amid broader market uncertainties.

PolitiFi coins tied to the candidates showed declines after the debate.

Super Trump (CRYPTO:STRUMP) fell 6.8%, Kamala Horris (CRYPTO:KAMA) dropped 5.7%, and MAGA (CRYPTO:TRUMP) edged down 0.2%, according to CoineGecko data.

Peter Chung from Presto Research attributed these moves to Harris' stronger-than-expected debate performance.

D'Anethan added that PolitiFi coins might continue to show volatility in response to shifts in sentiment following the debate, but with low liquidity and diminishing interest, these changes may not last long.

0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

PoolX: Locked for new tokens.
APR up to 10%. Always on, always get airdrop.
Lock now!

You may also like

Bernstein sets $200,000 Bitcoin target for 2025, unaffected by U.S. election results

Share link:In this post: Bernstein predicts Bitcoin will reach $200,000 by the end of 2025. Key factors include the rise of debt in the United States and increased demand from spot ETFs. According to Bernstein, if Trump is to win, then Bitcoin may rise to between $80,000, and if Harris wins, Bitcoin may drop to $50,000.

Cryptopolitan2024/11/04 21:55

South Koreans pay 2.2% higher prices for Bitcoin as FOMO kicks in

Share link:In this post: As FOMO kicks in, Bitcoin holders in South Korea spend 2.2% more on purchases. The ‘Kimchi Premium’ was negative between Oct. 12 and Oct. 20 as Bitcoin traded below the global market average in South Korea. In 2024, the South Korean Won was the second largest fiat currency in Bitcoin, trading at 3.99% after the U.S. dollar, which was at 17.75%.

Cryptopolitan2024/11/04 21:55